Che Hamdan yang berpandangan setiap PRK mempunyai keunikan sendiri dan menjadi medan ujian kepada setiap gabungan politik sama ada dalam kerajaan Perpaduan atau PN, menambah komposisi pengundi di DUN Mahkota menjadikan keperluan mendapatkan sokongan setiap pengundi tegar dalam gabungan mereka.
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, namun ia tidak boleh dipandang ringan dan keputusan di Mahkota boleh menjadi penanda aras jika mereka dapat meningkatkan sokongan undi Melayu kepada parti itu.
Bagaimanapun, peratusan keluar mengundi, undi protes dan pengundi tegar antara faktor yang dapat menentukan majoriti kerana majoriti sebelum ini merupakan angka yang agak banyak,” katanya.
“Selain itu, faktor peningkatan sokongan terhadap Perikatan Nasional (PN) pada pilihan raya di enam negeri sebelum ini, dilihat boleh menjadi faktor yang dapat menyebabkan majoriti BN berkurangan,” katanya kepada Bernama semasa dihubungi di sini hari ini.
Ini kerana, selain faktor peratusan besar pengundi DUN Mahkota bekerja atau menetap di luar, PRK itu turut tercalit dengan isu pergeseran antara dua pemimpin daripada parti dalam kerajaan Perpaduan yang dibimbangi dapat mempengaruhi undi pihak yang tidak bersetuju dengan isu tersebut.
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“Pemilihan calon juga mungkin menjadi faktor penentu kemenangan Barisan Nasional (BN) dalam pilihan raya kecil ini. Mereka telah meletakkan calon baru yang muda dan memiliki personaliti menarik.
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Calon ini sudah dikenali oleh penduduk setempat dari pelbagai lapisan masyarakat dan boleh berbahasa Mandarin, yang memudahkan beliau berkomunikasi dengan pengundi Cina.
“Ini untuk membuktikan kemenangan yang selesa berdasarkan jumlah undi yang diperoleh oleh BN dan PH pada Pilihan Raya Negeri (PRN) yang lalu, memandangkan kedua-dua pihak menurunkan calon pada waktu itu jika dicampurkan,” katanya.
“Dulu BN bertanding sendirian, namun selepas bergabung dengan Pakatan Harapan (PH) tentu jangkaan adalah majoriti akan lebih besar, tetapi apa yang berlaku sebelum ini mungkin boleh menyebabkan ada yang tidak keluar mengundi, menjadikan ia cabaran kepada jentera.
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Melihat kepada perjalanan kempen, Mazlan berkata tinjauannya pada minggu pertama kempen mendapati jentera BN lebih mendominasi kempen dengan sokongan PH sebagai rakan dalam kerajaan Perpaduan. Mereka menyantuni pengundi secara berkelompok.
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